Alam Sutera Realty Tbk(ASRI)

Inverted Head And Shoulders Alam Sutera Realty Tbk (ASRI) 

                                                                                                                                             

Saham yang satu ini menarik untuk diamati secara technical, saham ini telah membentuk pola Inverted Head And Shoulder dan telah valid. Bergerak dalam bidang property dengan kode saham ASRI menjadi menarik untuk diamati dan juga saham ASRI ini berpotensi menguat dalam beberapa hari kedepannya dimana penguatan harga saham ini akan mencapai Rp.60 sampai Rp.65 atau +- 32.4%.

Peak pada posisi 192 dan trough pada posisi 174, saat ini peak baru belum terbentuk dan harga open Rp.205, High Rp.215, Low Rp.205 dan Close Rp210,dari peak kalau kita hitung harga sudah mencapai kenaikan 9,38% ,dimana syarat kita untuk membeli itu hanya boleh 3%-6% dari peak,lebih dari itu kita hindari atau menunggu peak baru. Calon peak baru berikutnya akan berada di level Rp.215, kita akan membeli saham ini bila harga mampu menembus Rp.21,-

yah! benar kita akan membeli saham ini di harga 220 dengan target harga akan mencapai Rp.250-Rp.300, lumayan bukan maksimun profit 36.36%.

Cutloss bila harga menembus trough(support) yang juga merupakan calon trough baru di posisi Rp.187,- artinya bila harga menembus Rp.187 dibawahnya misalnya Rp.186-Rp.185 disitulah tepat saham kita jual rugi.

Pola Inverted Head And Shoulders merupakan kebalikan dari pola Head And Shoulders . Pola ini juga memiliki tingkat kehandalan yang tinggi meskipun lebih jarang muncul. Statistik menunjukan dalam periode yang sama terjadi 330 kali pola Invertd Head And Shoulders.Diantara pola itu terdapat tingkat kegagalan hanya 5% dan umumnya formasi pola itu terbentuk dalam kurun waktu beberapa minggu sampai enam bulan.

Gambar disamping menunjukan proses pembentukan formasi reversal pada pola Inverted Head And Shoulders. Puncak-puncak(A dan C) serta Lembah-lembah(B dan D) yang semakin lama semakin rendah berangsur-angsur mulai menunjukan tanda kehilangan momentum yang ditandai dengan lembah F yang tidak mampu mencapai level dasar sebelumnya(D). lembah B di sebut left Shoulders(Bahu kiri), lembah D yang harus lebih rendah di antara ketiga lembah disebut sebagai Head(kepala), sedangkan lembah Fdisebut right Shoulders(Bahu Kanan).

Ketika bull mulai mendominasi, harga akan terus terdorong sampai atas garis leher(Neckline). Bila harga ditutup pada level diatas neckline tersebut,maka sinyal reversal dikatakan telah mendapat Validasi.Selanjutnya minimum price objective yang sering disebut dengan target sudah bisa ditentukan.Caranya adalah dengan memproyeksikan"jarak vertikal antara D dengan neckline" ketitik Break Bullish seperti yang terlihat pada gambar diatas.

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Horn Tops and Double Tops Patterns

 Horn Tops And Double Top Pattern JSX

The name of this pattern is called the Horn because of its shape similar to the "horns". The formation of this pattern must be preceded the previous rally (from A - B as shown in the picture beside), then formed two peaks are (nearly) the same height in adjacent time. The difference between the peak period of the first and the second peak is generally very short duration ranging from three days to one week, which was seen in the Horn Downloadable second peak (D) is a pattern we call minor horn tops were clearly visible and poyeksipenurunannya JSX will be corrected level of 2700.In the Double Tops Moyoritas very clear pattern is formed and we've discussed before this one pattern, and very clear direction that will be achieved by this pattern, in long-term target will be brought to the level in 2000. so minor pattern will occur in the near term correction of JSX down to the level where the market in 2700 and when the crash occurred because of factors beyond the technical to say the global crisis will not trigger a possibility JSX will come down to a level that is level 2000 Moyor

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Double Top Patterns Ford Motor Co(F)

Shares of Ford Motor have reached the target derivation

 Double Top pattern is one part of a reversal pattern which is derived from the Triple Top. Pattern formation in the Double Top formation should also be initiated by the previous uptrend, then formed two peaks (A and C), which ideally has the same height level as shown in the picture beside this. This makes the potential for the formation of patterns Tops Doube, but it remains unclear whether the trend will turn sideway or down trend. Although further confirmation is required, trendline penetration could be an early sign for more intensive monitoring, especially if the price declines are accompanied by volume increases. Double Top formation is easily recognizable at a glance looks like the letter M.

As a validation of the final confirmation of this pattern is if the closing price was below the horizontal line drawn support from the lowest point in the valley between two peaks (B). Then the target can be measured from the break point bearish based on the projected vertical distance between the "line of resistance with the lowest point in valley B". Double Top is mentioned as one of the most common pattern and having a failure rate is quite low, around 17 percent. Statistics show 341 of the 454 signals a reversal formations that form patterns, and the other 113 is a signal consolidation. Average time to establish this pattern is about one and a half months to three months on the daily charts. In addition, the Double Top pattern can also be found on the weekly charts, but its formation would take longer, sometimes over a year or even several years.

In the image above Ford's stock price has already reached the target and it seems the price will come back stronger, but the trend is still bearish in the meantime.When prices broke through the $ 11.8 the price is big opportunity will rebound sharply upward and the point of entry to buy sahm clearly must exceed $ 11.8 as an example of $ 11.85 to $ 11.90, and for cutloss 7-8 percent always when the price was below $ 11.8 approx $ 10,856.  

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Inovisi Infacom Tbk

Financial Statements for INOVISI INFRACOM Tbk  (INVS)

Year over year, PT Inovisi Infracom Tbk has been able to grow revenues from $48.2B to $88.7B. Most impressively, the company has been able to reduce the percentage of sales devoted to income tax expense from 2.18% to 0.36%. This was a driver that led to a bottom line growth from $2.8B to $28.1B.

 

New INVS then just staged the corporation issuing new shares (Rights Issue), From this corporate actions, INVS billion pocketed funds amounting Rp.97.75. According to news, all analogous result of new issuance of shares with preemptive rights (Rights) has been used to acquired 100% shares Code Wireless Pte. Singapore companies operating in this field of small and medium scale IT.

Share Price INVS

Peak (resistance) has been formed at the position in 2025 and Trough (Support) at the 1640 level, like that seen in the graph above is very uptrend stock trends and are always able to penetrate the highest price, this is a very good momentum for the investors and retail traders , When trading on Monday, where stocks will go back again through the peak  (resistance) in 2025, the most likely chance of rising prices, the entry point to buy this stock at 2050 prices and cut loss 7% -8%, so buy this stock when the share price successful through the peak in 2025, bought in 2050 and cut loss price of these shares when prices penetrate the Trough (support) in 1640 at 1630 prices.

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Paradox in the stock market

Paradox in the stock market is the absolute truth, for example the price of an expensive stock is getting more expensive and cheap getting cheaper. Normally we often hear the term common market was to buy shares at cheap prices and selling at high prices, but market reality is precisely the opposite often occurs, and investor and stock trader in fact often stuck with misconceptions like that. The real problem is the notion of an old method is still to guide traders and investors in the stock market in its shares hunting. Stock markets paradox that we must understand correctly understanding the truth, so if the stock price was expensive and the more expensive the same as the stock is forming uptrend pattern (Bullish), whereas the cheap stock prices getting cheaper is the same with stocks are forming a pattern downtrend (bearish) . In my opinion, buy a stock that is able to penetrate or through its highest price the stock price every time it formed the new highest price higher than before. These are stocks that will make our portfolio to grow rapidly.From now on we replace the term buy low sell high is the fact, often make us a loser in the stock market with the term paradox of buy high sell stock that is getting higher that in fact, often makes us a trader or investor the true winners in the stock market.

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New York Stock Exchange kick Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

Continue misfortunes befall Fannie Mae (FNA) and Freddie Mac (FNE)

 The two largest mortgage finance companies in the United States (U.S.) must lift the foot aka delisted from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). These two companies share listing on the stock because the price was written off and falling below the threshold of a minimum price of USS $ 1 per share during the 30 day trading stock.Convey this decision in the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), a few days ago. Earlier, shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have also lift other leg of the stock market since September 2008. Subsequently, these shares are traded on the OTC (Over-the-counter). "Order is not related to delisting the company performance," said FHFA director Edward DeMarco.

Actually, both companies can also avoid the delisting of its stock price as long as it can improve, but DeMarco consider a voluntary delisting more reasonable and in accordance with the purpose of FHFA.

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The U.S. financial sector

Various modes Fraud

 

 Having a home is a dream of every person. Unfortunately, housing prices is quite expensive and only a few people who can buy it in cash. Just like in any country, most Americans also bought his house with installments into a bank or financial institution that provides services to residential mortgage services.

From the news in the country, consumers are often disappointed that there was a dream house not being given, partly because the developer ran away and is not responsible. Lived consumers bite the fingers. Apparently, a case about fraud cases home ownership is also very rife in the U.S.. Especially in recent years before the financial crisis hit, U.S. housing prices always go up and an attractive investment. Only the U.S. Government did not stay silent resolve the problem of fraud has been rampant in these houses. Made the task force that aims to address fraud and capture the perpetrators of fraudulent home purchases. The fraudsters in the U.S. home buyer is very sophisticated with a variety of modus operandi. The victim was diverse, not only home buyers, but also the provider of mortgage banking. One case involved two women who harm Orbán 4.4 million U.S. dollars. They act in the Haitian community in Miami. One of the women, Yolette Antoine, was accused of collecting personal data from Haitian immigrants. He boasted as one who can provide a way for immigrants to get home. Apparently, he and his colleagues use such individual information to purchase a variety of unauthorized property and get credit. They submitted these names to get credit, while the person concerned did not know at all about purchasing that property. They were struck dumb when asked to pay for housing credit. The state mortgage losses amounting to 4.4 million U.S. dollars from this scheme.In another case involving a man from Duluth, Minnesota, Michael Fiorito. He was rewarded 22 years in prison for having embezzled the money of 400,000 U.S. dollars from the homeowners. Homeowners who are in financial difficulties it was convinced that he was able to provide new financing. Fiorito promises to his victims, he can send them a check because they had pledged his house certificates. Apparently, he kept the checks and embezzling or coerce the victim handed over the check keadanya with various kinds of intimidation and threats.

 

Meanwhile, the Federal Court in Manhattan declared Sharmon or Sharmon Wade Howell guilty of deceiving the housing loan scheme. Throughout 2006-2007, Howell is a mortgage lender. He is getting funds from various banks and other institutions. Howell and his colleagues get more than 10 million dollars As a sub-prime mortgages to personal customers.More specifically, Howell and his colleagues recruited a few people who would be purchasers to buy property in and around New York.

 

 

Utilizing the Ex-Prisoners

Buyer's name and the data is exploited and become victims of Howell. Usually they hire people just out of prison or people from outside New York. Howell told the prospective buyer is that by buying the property being offered will help the owner avoid confiscation or she say that buying property was a good investment. Some prospective buyers are also told that they need not worry on installment loan payments because of Howell will pay installments for a few months and they will buy more property from the new owner. Howell usually get housing loans with a value far greater than the selling price of the house. To obtain larger loans from banks, Howell and his associates falsified appraisal home buyers also falsified financial data such as income, assets, debts, and the purposes they occupy the house. Most data were inflated, although the majority of buyers do not have the ability to buy a house with expensive price and could not burdened with huge debt repayments.After falsifying data to obtain credit, Howell and colleagues divide the difference between the original house prices and the credit disbursement has been inflated. After that, Howell was renting the property and use the money to pay rent installment credit, before they are deliberately not paying the credit. Finally, for not paying back loans, buyers who were deceived and did not have the ability to pay down debt in bankruptcy.

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White Collar Crimes

485 Fraudster arrested U.S. Financial Sector

 United States officials said they had detained 485 people involved mortgage fraud. This effort is the largest in the history of the eradication of fraud surrounding the U.S. housing credit. The statement the Department of Justice in Washington, United States. Credit chaos housing sector became the main trigger of the U.S. economic crisis in September 2008, which then spread throughout the world. Eradication codenamed "Operation Dream is stolen" that involve multiple agencies and institutions in the U.S., including the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). So far the operation has handled 336 cases since the beginning 1 March 2010. Fraud scheme carried out a variety. The inquiry has produced criminal suspects in 1215 with a total 3.2 billion dollars in losses. "Mortgage-related fraud destroys lives, families, and communities as a whole. So, parse the issue from various sides of an important job," said U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder.

FBI says crime report fraudulent activity rose 5 percent in fiscal year 2009, the crisis does not change the mode of fraud. The FBI also increase personnel in handling this case from 1200 in fiscal year 2007 to 3000 people in 2010. Fraud housing is very diverse, with banks or home buyers to make an offering. However, the modus more varied this year, including the cost of economic stimulus from the government. The fraudsters are also involved in home foreclosures and tax-related crimes, as the FBI admits. FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III, said his agent further enhance the supervision and conduct undercover operations to uncover more than 3000 cases of housing fraud. Besides the FBI, more than 20 federal agents who were members of the Task Force for law enforcement financial fraud, which formed the government Barack Obama, then November, undercover to investigate cases of national financial. Fin Cen, one unit of the Ministry of Finance and member of the task force, announced separately that they also are dealing with home foreclosure cases, by the swindler who took place in 2009. More than 3500 reports were collected from 2004 through 2009. 

Involving Large Bank 

They not only investigate individual cases, law enforcement authorities are also investigating the giant mortgage company. U.S. authorities also arrested Lee Farkas, a former leader of a housing finance company credit provider in Florida. He has been accused of cheating for seven years and billions of dollars have contributed to the collapse of a major bank, Taylor Bean & Whitaker Mortgage Corp..This case represents the largest case experienced by a bank. Farkas and his colleagues started fraud by absorbing funds from Ocala Finanacing, which also receives major funding from the bank of international caliber, such as Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas. 

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European crisis

The European Union Continue Endeavor Overcome Difficulties

 Germany participated along with other European countries began to support the publication of results "stress test" banking on Thursday (17 / 6). This is a study to demonstrate the extent to which banks in europe could withstand the financial pressure.Another development was the increase in rates from the European euro as the Spanish succeeded in selling its bonds and European Union leaders reached an agreement to tighten the rules about the budget. Germany, previously skeptical about the disclosure of details of the results of a series of tests about the health of the banking industry, eventually eliminate that worry. France and Spain agreed with the steps that have also taken the U.S. government.At As, the government conducted a series of stress tests to see the health of banking and bank announced the results to the public. Public health can also find out the tires. Obama has also urged Europe to do the same steps to determine the health of the banking

"We see the market remain stable," said German Finance Ministry spokesman, Michael Offer. Earlier, French Economy Minister Christine Lagarde supports the publication of stress tests. He said French banks have strong balance sheets and do not hide any data. In a European Union meeting in Brussels, the problem is dominated by concerns over the Spanish. Spain is a country with the fourth largest economic power in Europe. The situation in Spain may require disburse EU funds amounting to 500 billion-euro order to prevent the crisis to spread after the EU soured Greece. However, leaders do not look so ignore the difficulties and problems in Spain Spain is not scheduled at the meeting.

Positive 

Financial markets across Europe rose when Madrid was able to sell bonds worth 3.5 billion euros a term of 10 years and 30 years.Euro exchange rate immediately strengthened to 1:24 per U.S. dollar which is the highest position in three this past weekend. Shares in Europe continued to strengthen during the seventh consecutive trading session turu. Banking stocks also continued to strengthen. "Demand for the bonds of Spain to help restore confidence again." said Ciaran O'Hagan, strategist at Societe Generale. Other euro zone member countries have also been undertaking various measures to improve the economy

 

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U.S. managed gritted Switzerland

Customer Data Submitted to U.S. origin

 Swiss Parliament finally approved the agreement on the provision of data to U.S. customers, who embezzled U.S. tax through the Swiss banking, particularly UBS.

After winning the U.S. presidential election on November 4, 2008, U.S. President Barack Obama has encouraged the creation of a law in the U.S. senate. It is a tax paradise suppress all countries that have been detrimental to many countries through tax evasion and other. Given this agreement, UBS one of Switzerland's big banks became the main target will provide data to the authority of its customers in the U.S.. Previous U.S. citizens suspected of tax mnggelapkan, Many of those already indicted are clients of UBS.Previously, Switzerland, USA and UBS reached an agreement in August 2009 that the bank would provide data about customers suspected of embezzling 4450 taxes. Only, the agreement still must await approval from the Swiss parliament finally granted on Thursday (17 / 6). This struggle has been running for three years between UBS and U.S. tax authorities who suspect a foreign bank to help the people of the United States for years to hide billions of dollars in overseas accounts.With this approval, has been an era ended with a safe hiding money in Switzerland.

UBS admitted 

UBS admitted helping thousands of U.S. customers to darken the tax. Under the agreement, the Swiss have to provide customer data to the U.S. Internal Revenue Service no later than in August 2010. Previously, the Swiss Supreme Court vetoed the deal because of taint the tradition of banking secrecy in Switzerland. Switzerland is famous for protecting the data of its customers. Very difficult to track assets in Swiss banks even though the customer was suspected of having a criminal act. The tradition of protecting customers has been ingrained in the Swiss banking. Swiss government saw a green light from parliament when it says there is nothing that can stop the UBS provide customer data. "Parliamentary approval to make the Swiss still continue to keep the commitment he made." Thus a statement from the Justice Department of Switzerland. The head of UBS Oswald Gruebel praised the approval by parliament as the aim of strengthening the agreement between Switzerland and the U.S..Gruebel also mengakatan largest bank in Switzerland that it will continue to concentrate on a variety of obligations as a consequence of this agreement. Gruebel also said he was very confident that this problem can be resolved before August.

Swiss authorities will provide the data 500 customers who previously have given their consent. In addition, there are other data in 1200 ready to be sent after approval from parliament. In total, Bern 3000 will process up to 4450 cases that have been appointed by Washington and say, providing data that is a great way to meet the demands of cooperation the two governments.Last week, As Switzerland has warned that the U.S. would do if a lawsuit against UBS Swiss parliament also agreed it was not. UBS's willingness to hand over data dependent on the approval of the Swiss parliament. Swiss officials had feared it would damage the political and economic relations as well as destroy the licensing UBS in the U.S.. 

 

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