Alam Sutera Realty Tbk(ASRI)

Inverted Head And Shoulders Alam Sutera Realty Tbk (ASRI) 

                                                                                                                                             

Saham yang satu ini menarik untuk diamati secara technical, saham ini telah membentuk pola Inverted Head And Shoulder dan telah valid. Bergerak dalam bidang property dengan kode saham ASRI menjadi menarik untuk diamati dan juga saham ASRI ini berpotensi menguat dalam beberapa hari kedepannya dimana penguatan harga saham ini akan mencapai Rp.60 sampai Rp.65 atau +- 32.4%.

Peak pada posisi 192 dan trough pada posisi 174, saat ini peak baru belum terbentuk dan harga open Rp.205, High Rp.215, Low Rp.205 dan Close Rp210,dari peak kalau kita hitung harga sudah mencapai kenaikan 9,38% ,dimana syarat kita untuk membeli itu hanya boleh 3%-6% dari peak,lebih dari itu kita hindari atau menunggu peak baru. Calon peak baru berikutnya akan berada di level Rp.215, kita akan membeli saham ini bila harga mampu menembus Rp.21,-

yah! benar kita akan membeli saham ini di harga 220 dengan target harga akan mencapai Rp.250-Rp.300, lumayan bukan maksimun profit 36.36%.

Cutloss bila harga menembus trough(support) yang juga merupakan calon trough baru di posisi Rp.187,- artinya bila harga menembus Rp.187 dibawahnya misalnya Rp.186-Rp.185 disitulah tepat saham kita jual rugi.

Pola Inverted Head And Shoulders merupakan kebalikan dari pola Head And Shoulders . Pola ini juga memiliki tingkat kehandalan yang tinggi meskipun lebih jarang muncul. Statistik menunjukan dalam periode yang sama terjadi 330 kali pola Invertd Head And Shoulders.Diantara pola itu terdapat tingkat kegagalan hanya 5% dan umumnya formasi pola itu terbentuk dalam kurun waktu beberapa minggu sampai enam bulan.

Gambar disamping menunjukan proses pembentukan formasi reversal pada pola Inverted Head And Shoulders. Puncak-puncak(A dan C) serta Lembah-lembah(B dan D) yang semakin lama semakin rendah berangsur-angsur mulai menunjukan tanda kehilangan momentum yang ditandai dengan lembah F yang tidak mampu mencapai level dasar sebelumnya(D). lembah B di sebut left Shoulders(Bahu kiri), lembah D yang harus lebih rendah di antara ketiga lembah disebut sebagai Head(kepala), sedangkan lembah Fdisebut right Shoulders(Bahu Kanan).

Ketika bull mulai mendominasi, harga akan terus terdorong sampai atas garis leher(Neckline). Bila harga ditutup pada level diatas neckline tersebut,maka sinyal reversal dikatakan telah mendapat Validasi.Selanjutnya minimum price objective yang sering disebut dengan target sudah bisa ditentukan.Caranya adalah dengan memproyeksikan"jarak vertikal antara D dengan neckline" ketitik Break Bullish seperti yang terlihat pada gambar diatas.

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Horn Tops and Double Tops Patterns

 Horn Tops And Double Top Pattern JSX

The name of this pattern is called the Horn because of its shape similar to the "horns". The formation of this pattern must be preceded the previous rally (from A - B as shown in the picture beside), then formed two peaks are (nearly) the same height in adjacent time. The difference between the peak period of the first and the second peak is generally very short duration ranging from three days to one week, which was seen in the Horn Downloadable second peak (D) is a pattern we call minor horn tops were clearly visible and poyeksipenurunannya JSX will be corrected level of 2700.In the Double Tops Moyoritas very clear pattern is formed and we've discussed before this one pattern, and very clear direction that will be achieved by this pattern, in long-term target will be brought to the level in 2000. so minor pattern will occur in the near term correction of JSX down to the level where the market in 2700 and when the crash occurred because of factors beyond the technical to say the global crisis will not trigger a possibility JSX will come down to a level that is level 2000 Moyor

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Double Top Patterns Ford Motor Co(F)

Shares of Ford Motor have reached the target derivation

 Double Top pattern is one part of a reversal pattern which is derived from the Triple Top. Pattern formation in the Double Top formation should also be initiated by the previous uptrend, then formed two peaks (A and C), which ideally has the same height level as shown in the picture beside this. This makes the potential for the formation of patterns Tops Doube, but it remains unclear whether the trend will turn sideway or down trend. Although further confirmation is required, trendline penetration could be an early sign for more intensive monitoring, especially if the price declines are accompanied by volume increases. Double Top formation is easily recognizable at a glance looks like the letter M.

As a validation of the final confirmation of this pattern is if the closing price was below the horizontal line drawn support from the lowest point in the valley between two peaks (B). Then the target can be measured from the break point bearish based on the projected vertical distance between the "line of resistance with the lowest point in valley B". Double Top is mentioned as one of the most common pattern and having a failure rate is quite low, around 17 percent. Statistics show 341 of the 454 signals a reversal formations that form patterns, and the other 113 is a signal consolidation. Average time to establish this pattern is about one and a half months to three months on the daily charts. In addition, the Double Top pattern can also be found on the weekly charts, but its formation would take longer, sometimes over a year or even several years.

In the image above Ford's stock price has already reached the target and it seems the price will come back stronger, but the trend is still bearish in the meantime.When prices broke through the $ 11.8 the price is big opportunity will rebound sharply upward and the point of entry to buy sahm clearly must exceed $ 11.8 as an example of $ 11.85 to $ 11.90, and for cutloss 7-8 percent always when the price was below $ 11.8 approx $ 10,856.  

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